Thursday, October 17, 2013

The 25 Answers

NOTICE: The answers are crowd sourced and not entirely mine. I could not give credit to each and every person, however I am grateful to them.

1. Why Arvind Kejriwal & his wife were never transferred out of Delhi in their entire career if they were fighting against Corrupt Govt. unlike Ashok Khemka or Durga Shakti?

Neatly explained at Arvind Kejriwal and His Transfer 
2. What are Kejriwal's achievements as an IRS Officer?

84 Raids and recovery of 500 Crores!
3. What is his stand on Kashmir, Indian Army and Hindu Terrorism with respect to Bhushan's comments?

AAPs stand on Kashmir is reflected in its website. what do you mean by stand on Indian army and hindu terrorism, please clarify and unlike BJP AAP does not focus on individuals but the party is paramount
4. What is the stand of Aam Aadmi Party on Ram Janmabhoomi issue?

Any law abiding citizen will say that the courts will decide, unlike some people who do not know what abiding to law means. If you have good harmony and good economy you can build as many temples and mosques as you want. But for you ram janam bhoomi is more important that millions of malnourished children living in poor hygiene conditions and doing labor. For you it might not be important when children die in mid-day meals. 
5. What does AK think of the Martyrdom of Mohanchand Sharma in Batla House?

"A brave police officer Mohan Chand Sharma lost his life in the call of duty. ,”
6. What had Narendra Modi got to do in his speech and banners at Jantar Mantar when Sikhs were protesting against Sajjan Kumar? 
  • There were banners against Manmohan Singh and Sonia Gandhi as well. Only you didn't click their pics.
  • The banners were made by the Sikh group which was protesting there, not by AAP
7. Why dreaded Maoist leaders such as Binayak Sen, who have been convicted by Court, are in AAP core Reforms team?

Not "Binayak Sen", "Dr Binayak Sen". Now, he was convicted of Sedition by the local Session Court, granted. Then there was a huge cry in India and all over world against this conviction. Everyone knows how local courts function (need for Judicial accountability bill?).

So we don't trust in Courts? Really? Supreme Court said this about Dr Binayak Sen - "Just by keeping a book of Maoism doesn't make you a Maoist, just as just by having a book on Gandhi, doesn't make you a Gandhiwadi". Then SC gave him bail. Bail in case of Sedition is a huge blow to such false charges.

What did BJP and congress do to resolve the Naxal problem. Have they been successful? Are their activities increasing or decreasing. It might be someone's approach to settle the issues peacefully. May be your opinion would be to kill all but others might not hold the same
8. Imam Bukhari who has dozens of arrest warrants against him and was openly seen for calling for Islamic Rule in India, Kejriwal has been seen with him on occasions, would he clarify his relations with him?

If Imam Bhukari had dozens of arrest warrants against him, can you tell me why still he is not behind bar? Are Congress and BJP not capable of making it happen? On top of that on many occasions I have seen both BJP leaders are standing with Congress Leader, Does that mean they have any relation with each other?

Now, what exactly happened:

Anna Hazare instructed Kiran Bedi and Arvind Kejriwal to meet Imam Bukhari once during the IAC and they did meet him just once. AK is not seen with him later. Stop peddling lies.
9. Is there any personal reason why Kejriwal chose not to speak against Navin Jindal and Pawan Bansal on matters of Scams and Corruption?

AAPs stand on corruption and Lok pal has force BJP and congress to start doing something on this count. Do you want to know how many people with criminal cases are BJP MPs and MLAs and why a convicted criminal is still in Narnedra Modis cabinet and why is modi silent when goons from MNS / shiv sena beat up innocent biharis/ up in Maharahstra and why has modi never spoken against yeddurappa his own partymen and reddy brothers .why has he not sacked 3 ministers, attorney general and his secretary who are heard conspiring to subvert justice system in Gujrat. And as always you are wrong in your facts
Aam Aadmi Party''s Statement on Arrest of Pawan Bansal''s Nephew for Receiving Bribe of 90 Lakhs | Aam Aadmi Party, India
Arvind Kejriwal
Aam Aadmi Party demands SIT on coal scam - The Hindu
10. Kejriwal intelligently did an expose on Nitin Gadkari naming him in an irrigation scam, but he really didn’t mention that it was Sharad Pawar & family which was in power for over a decade in Maharashtra

Another blatant lie. Read here - No point repeating allegations against Sharad Pawar: Arvind Kejriwal

Why has modi silent on yeddy and reddy . why is he silent on nitin gadkari and bangaru laxman . why has he not sacked convicted criminal minister in his government. why has he not sacked 3 ministers, attorney general and his secretary who are heard conspiring to subvert justice system in Gujrat.
11. What was the reason that Bharat Mata picture was removed in later anshans/protests by Kejriwal

Do you keep picture of Bharat Mata in your office space? I do not, but I take strong offence if you take that for leftist leanings or lack of patriotism
Every government official has Mahatma Gandhi and Bhagat Singh picture in office and still they take bribes. For you they are better than those who never took bribe but did not have Mahatma Gandhi poster in office.
In any case, I have seen a lot of AAP meetings where the picture of Bharat Mata was indeed there.
12. What was the reason for his Media Byte - "We dont want support from communal people" on question asked by a journalist about RSS providing food during their Anshan when at a later stage, AAP workers who went for Relief work in Uttarakhand, were found gobbling food in Baba Ramdev’s camp, which was meant for Flood Victims?

Watch this video first - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kN455sDU-IE 
Can you provide evidence. Maya kodnani and Babu Bokhariya are convicted by courts, so does that mean all BJP people are convicted by courts . Has sangh parivar supporters start tracking which people are gobbling food where.
13. Why is Kejriwal utterly silent on Himachal CM Virbhadra Singh of Congress, when he faced so many serious allegations?

Who exposed Robert vadra/Salman Kurshid . It is magical that Virbhadra Singh sends legal notice to Arvind because he was silent. Can you stop copy pasting articles and do your research
Union Minister Virbhadra Singh sends legal notice to Arvind Kejriwal : North, News - India Today
14. Who asked Kejriwal to go on Aamaran Anshan (fast unto death) and later break his fast by drinking water from a Steel Glass (he wasn’t asked for either of the two) 
  • It was an "Anishchitkaleen Upwaas",  not an "Amaran Anshan"
  • It was his prerogative  
15. What was the reason of him for writing a letter to Muslims saying Batla house encounter was fake and Ishrat Jahan was an innocent who was killed in Fake encounter?

He said ' Ishrat Jahan was also killed in a similar fake encounter ', he does not say ishrat jahan is innocent or guilty and even the courts have said that important point is wether this was an extra judicial killings and who was involved. The attorney general, 3 ministers, the secretary to modi have been heard conspiring to derail the ishrat jahan probe as per their famous gujrat model.
16. Further Why did he mention that “many innocent Muslims are killed in Gujarat” in his letter, when he does not have proof that those were fake.

Innocent muslims were killed in Gujarat. What's new about it? 
17. Also why does Kejriwal handpick Gujarat in citing examples of encounters on terrorists when the number of encounters in Congress ruled Maharashtra and AP, north eastern states and Uttar Pradesh are much higher?
So, Gujarat should not be named? I feel someone is being a crybaby here.
18. Even when it came to UP Riots, Kejriwal blamed Modi and Amit Shah and faintly mentioned Samajwadi Party, when in reality 2 Congress ex MPs were booked and BSP, SP MPs were found inciting violence. Why this soft corner in not naming Congress responsible for UP Riots?

Incorrect. AAP faintly hinted that due to presence of Amit Shah there were 'apprehensions', however AAP squarely blamed SP. Again, I feel some one is being a cry baby over here.
19. Why did Kejriwal not campaign for the BJP govt. of Uttarakhand in the last Assembly elections, as they had promised even when they passed exactly the same Lokayukta Bill that team Anna wanted, although Kejriwal is silent on Congress removing most of its content from the bill after it came to power last year in Uttarakhand.

What promise? And I agree that UK government got the Jan Lokayukta bill, however why did the BJP backstab its own CM who got this bill and made sure BJP government falls in UK? Was it in collusion with Congress who later removed this law?

Ramdev said that BJP government in UK was corrupt - Corruption scandals haunt BJP govt in Uttarakhand.

In case your memory is short, Arvind Kejriwal campaigned against Congress in Hissar and Congress, where as in UK, Nishank conspired against the clean Khanduri. Rings a bell?
20. During his tenure as IAS officer, how many corrupt people did Arvind kejriwal bust? He says corruption is deep rooted, therefore he must have busted a lot of corrupt officials during his tenure as IAS officer

**HE WAS IRS NOT IAS**

During his tenure as IRS officer, AK started his NGO and helped poor in various issue (just google the Reader's Digest article) and later when he felt that this firefighting was inefficient, he started to work for RTI. He IS the architect of both RTI and Janlokpal bill (Kiran Bedi said this in December 2010 IAC video, go search for it).
21. He set up an Internal Lokpal to investigate Corruption of AAP members such as Mayank Gandhi, Damania etc. How was the process carried out and how is Internal Lokpal of AAP any different than CBI investigating Congress?

Is the Admiral an AAP member? If you don't know who is that Admiral, you are not qualified to ask this question.

So when is BJP/Congress filing an FIR on Anjali Damani or Mayank Gandhi. Never, isn't it? Duh.
22. There were allegations on Kejriwal that he siphoned off extra salary during his tenure as IAS officer. He refused the charges, but returned the extra salary he had taken to the department. If he had not taken illegal salary why did he return it?

**HE WAS IRS NOT IAS**
He didn't want to fight on multiple fronts and this he has said himself.

When you have to reach somewhere to complete an important work which is for nation faith. And instantly a traffic police stopped you and said that you have broken the red light which you exactly not have done, and so you are fined... now what you prefer stop their and argue with him, or just fill a fine and rush to complete your work
23. AAP was forthcoming in demanding investigation of encounters of alleged terrorists Ishrat Jahan and Shahzad of Batla house. Why did he not ask for investigation of alleged murder of RTI activist & AAP member Santosh Koli?

AAP has filed FIR and after the death of Santosh Koli, the charges were increased to homicide/murder. The alleged-murder (still not proven) happened in UP and everyone knows how it is in UP. Of course Why are you lying about such a thing? Have some shame.
24. What was the need for AAP leader to work with Congress candidate's husband Sanjeev Bhatt against Narendra Modi just before Gujarat election in 2012 to do a fake expose which was later quashed.

The AAP expose on Modi was based upon the CAG report. CAG slams Modi regime for financial irregularities and Now Modi govt gets it from CAG for Rs 16,707 cr scam

What was quashed? Read here.  IS MODI GOVERNMENT ADANI’S DUKAAN?

See the latest tweets of Sanjiv Bhat on how he has tried to push his agenda on AAP and AAP has ignored him. In any case, again, someone is being a cry baby. 
25. Lastly, why is AAP not responding to RTI queries, including convicted people in its Core Reforms team, when it claims to support RTI for political parties and the Supreme Court ruling?

You got it totally wrong - http://aapkajawab.in/2013/08/aap-rti-query-1.html.


Another friend of mine has compiled more answers to the same questions here at http://think-out-of-the-dabba.blogspot.in/2013/09/aam-aadmi-party-and-kejriwal-all.html. Do check it out.




These were 25 Utterly stupid and politically moitivated questions indeed. Now, should I list down 2,500 questions on BJP?
Posted by at 15 comments:

Tuesday, October 8, 2013

Tempestuous South Asia

Background

The countries in South Asia never had it easy. After the end of WWII, India was free although Britain left with a parting gift in the name of Pakistan to keep India busy. And the rest was done in 1950s, when India gifted the Security Council seat to China. China later thanked India in 1962 for the favours, whereas Pakistan never got over its hate with India, and kept living in the delusion that Kashmir belonged to it, and because Kashmiris are Muslims, Hindus have no right to rule them (this, was recently told by a Pakistani guest in the NEWSHOUR).

Sri Lanka had its own share of troubles as well. Some say that Indira Gandhi fueled the Tamil movement in SL, in order to keep it in check, due to which many groups spawned. The most powerful group being the LTTE, which was supported by Indian Tamils. Rajiv Gandhi changed this policy and sent Indian Peace Keeping Force (IPKF), which was slaughtered by the Tamil tigers, and later Tamils assassinated Rajiv Gandhi as well.

Since 1990, India and China have been growing economically quite steadily, and lately China has grown much more than India. Single government, single party system has helped her to keep things disciplined and keep her citizens in check as well. She can take the land she wants for development and she can enforce the rules she wants. Freedom of speech is out of question in China, with most of the American social networking websites banned.





Russia, although not in SA, has been an all weather ally to India. It was because of Russia that USA was kept out of reach in 1971 war. The stories of how Russian submarines surrounded the American ships fill Indian hearts with joy. But that was USSR. Lately, Russia has become much more shrewd, and with delays of years of the Admiral Gorshkov (INS Vikramiditya) and cost overruns, it more of less looks like a cunning businessman looking out to dig more and more money from India. Of course, there have been cases where Russia has made life tough for India when it comes to giving out the spare parts.

Still, things were more or less stable in South Asia till recently. Even though India, Pakistan and China, are all nuclear states, things have never got out of hand. Pakistan last tried some adventure in 1999 in Kargil, and got her hands burnt badly. More than 4000 of her personnel were killed and they have to leave. Diplomatically she was all alone, and China could do nothing. You can give some credit to America for being a big boss out there to keep things under control.


Change in World Order

However, the Syria debacle has showed that the wrath of USA no longer scares other countries. USA's currency - $ (or PetroDollar?), depends a lot on Oil control, and (conspiracy theory?) USA wanted to control both Syria and Iran in order to keep $ strong. Perhaps that's why after Libya, it was targeting Syria. Syria, which is having its own battle against the Muslim extremists. The plan, perhaps was to target Iran via Syria, however, thanks to assertive diplomacy by Russia, China and other states (which include India), this plan had to be shelved.

First UK, the closes ally of USA, was forced to stand down. For the first time since 1956 Suez crisis,  the proposal to go to war was defeated in a vote. France did show some support, however even she was hesitant. President Obama showed a lot of aggression, but that didn't impress many. Putin literally couped American minds by writing a brilliant editorial in the New York Times, and after these events, war cries disappeared. The episode was finally closed after Russia proposed it would take away the Syrian chemical weapons, and Syria merrily agreeing to it.

This ensured that USA would not be able to gain access to Syrian and Iranian oil. This meant that in a mid or long run, $ would suffer. This meant, for the first time, that USA lost a war, before even starting it.

This meant, for the first time, that USA looked weaker than other countries!

South Asia

But hey, wasn't this blog about South Asia? Yes, definitely it is. And now I would come back to the point.
USA always has had a huge influence on Pakistan, and good control over China. However, after the Great Recession, China invested a lot of money, some say around $1T in USA, thus weakening American hold over China. Also Pakistan gifted away Gilgit-Baltistan to China, and in return, seems to be getting good favours (like JF-17).

Russia, which gave INS Vikramiditya to India, after much delay, was perfectly okay with China reverse engineering its Sukhoi-27s. Let us not forget, India only has Sukhoi-31 and Super Sukhois, and Russia has sold Sukhoi 35s to China as well. And now that China has the tech for Su-27s, we can safely assume that she would be mass producing it, in which she is expert in.

Thus we have two rogues states surrounding India, and they are out of American influence. And Russia, which till few years back wanted RIC Axis, no longer worries if China copies its tech, or if the weapons it has to provide to India are delayed. Plus Russia is pissed off with the fact that India is open to buy military tech from other countries now. Hence for Russia, China and India are more or less equal, with China being more equal as it is more powerful.

In the southern front, LTTE is finished. SL is pinning Tamils a lot now. Attacking, capturing, arresting Tamil fishermen is now an every day's news. I would not count SL as one of the India's friends. Another neighbour - Nepal, has been converted from a Hindu Kingdom to another Maoist state. Bhutan is irrelevant. Maldives is being run by the Jihadis after a coup. Myanmar is pushing its luck as well. First it intruded intro Manipur border village and set up a camp. Later it also tried to build fences on Indian border without bothering to come to understanding with Indian authorities. Only saving grace seems to be Bangladesh, who has jailed the extremists and banned their party.

Pressure Points on India, before the Keran Adventure


Lonely India

So you have India on one side, and China, Pakistan, Maldives, Myanmar (?) and SL on other side. PLUS, Russia and America out of the equation now

Another entity which is against India is Indian Government. Never in the history of India has India had such a shameless and inefficient government. It is only due to this government that a rift has been created by the retired military personnel and the current ones. Also, a lot of delays in procurement of weapons, shortage of ammunition can be credited to this government. Not to forget, we have not built any infrastructure close to India-China border/LAC to support our troops and troop movements

Few might call it bad luck, however I would call it bad planning that as of now, India is devoid of any operational Aircraft Career (AC). One AC is usually enough to hold one front. This was displayed excellently during the 1971 war where East Pakistan (now Bangladesh) was blocked away totally from West Pakistan via sea route.

More bad luck to India - Out of the 42 required squadrons, India is having only 31 squadrons of fighters. Delay in procuring new planes, huge delay in LCA and aging away of Mig-21s are few reasons of it. People who are happy about MMRCA should know that the deal is still not closed, and delivery of all the planes might take 10-15 years. PAK-FA (Su T-50) is still in development phase, and is hitting few roadblocks. LCA is not ready so MCA is still a far fetched dream.

The dream of a super-infantry, in the form of F-INSAS is still a pipe dream. Private sector has been totally shunted out of this ambitious project, and last I read, even the coms required for the F-INSAS have not been developed fully. You might understand where would the rest of the things stand as of now.

There are a lot of more examples, however, the bottom line is technically Indian Military is not doing great. Be it Army (much delay in F-INSAS), Navy (diesel powered submarines aging away, one was destroyed in an accident few weeks before, no operaional AC) or Air Force (11 squadrons short), we are seriously under-prepared.


Cornered India

Coming back to South Asia, India has been pressed from all sides. On the western front, be it brutal and barbaric beheading of 2 Indian soldiers or killing of 5 Indian soldiers after crossing the LoC or recent Keran misadventure, Pakistan is testing India roughly. In the southern front after finishing off LTTE, SL is punishing the Tamil fishers, as mention peviously in this blog. In the far eastern front, Myanmar tried to build the fence/wall without getting in sync with Indian authorities. And on the China front, camping inside Indian border, or coming in India and destroying surveillance cameras or stopping Indians from patrolling has become a norm. China has also operationalised two airfields in Tibet, one near Ladakh, and one near Arunachal Pradesh. Also, a dozen more airfields have been planned in Tibet.

The latest gift from Pakistan is Keran infiltration, or should I say, invasion. This invasion was detected on 23rd September, as per news. However, I digged more in the archives and found that on July 26th as well, there was an intrusion attempt, which was detected and foiled. Few intruders were killed. Coming back to 23rd Sep, Indian authorities seemed to know about the intrusion attempt, and still our dear MMS had a chit-chat with Sharif Sahab. The outcome is best known to them, but what is known to us is, Pakistan pushed its Special Forces in.

A note - To add to our woes, our Defense Minster has started a new unofficial policy. Unless verified and confirmed by Pakistan, all the Pakistani soldiers who intrude into Indian territory would be henceforth called as "Militants in Pakistani Uniform".


Keran Mishandling

Coming back to Keran, Media kept Keran intrusions a low key affair for almost 2 weeks. I remember that when an Army camp was attacked, I read only a ticker running that 30 terrorists have been surrounded, and that was a delight! However, those 30 terrorists were later termed as Special Forces, and even after the claims of Indian Army that we had killed 15 of them, the numbers of intruders looked to stay static at 30-40. Funny - still we are being told, that the number of intruders are 30-40. And that after 15 days of operation.

Another funny thing - although Indian Army said the area is secured and surrounded, we could not recover a single body. Although few pictures of the Pakistani Soldiers have emerged (I won't call them terrorists)

 

To add to that, we had deployed 300 Para Commandos (PCs). 300! And that too PCs? I am not a military man, however I do know that usually PCs are deployed behind enemy lines. Thus, can we assume that those PCs were  actually deployed west of the intruders. Let me make a small ASCII drawing:

  \ 
  \     PCs              |  o   o o o o o o
   \      PCs     X   X  |    o oo o o
LoC |    PCs     X X X   |  o    o o o o o o
    |  PCs PCs  X X X    | o    Indian Infantry
   /      PCs    X X X X |   o -----------------
  /    PCs       X  XX   |    o  o o o o
 /        PCs     X X    |   o o o o o
/    PCs   PCs  X X      |   o       oo o       o


PCs - ParaCommandos
X - Intruders
o - Indian Infantry

This picture would hold only true if intruders are deep enough to give space for PCs to land. So, how far have they come? Although the news is coming that 300-400 meters, however, I cannot trust that now that after PCs are deployed. Of course if PCs are deployed East of intruders, then this picture would be utter nonsense, but then deployment of PCs would be utter nonsense as well.

Another news that is bothering me is, it came out around 500 Indian soldiers, including PCs ar fighting. Why would 500 fight just 40? Beats me! Unless the number of intruders is not 40.

Few other observations that have concerned me -
These concerns are more to do with how this entire operation has been handled. It may or may not be over soon, however, this is not how a professional government manages the tough situations. If Pakistan was just testing India, then I would have to say, India has not been upto the mark. This would be encouraging China and Pakistan.


Future *Tense*

Border (LoC) skirmishes, like Keran are more than what meets the eye in today's world. I must say here, that the Keran intrusion was part of a bigger plan against India and is part of a patter. With both China and Pakistan acting hostile, and SL, Myanmar acting rogue, things might easily go out of hand for India. Let us not forget that Russia is not very pleased with India, with the fact that India has opened her defense market to rest of the countries, in order to diversify the products being bought. And Russia is getting quite cozy with China, and has handed her the technology of Sukhoi-27s and sold Sukhoi-35s. And with influence of USA dwindling, India might find herself when there are military adventures by her neighbours against her.

The worst case scenario might be:
  1. Pakistan starts a small skirmish on LoC
  2. India deploys its resources to teach Pakistan a lesson.
  3. China intrudes a bit in Leh/Laddah and North East frontier.
  4. India tries to push out China
  5. Pakistan attacks India in Kashmir with full force.
  6. India is now acting on two fronts.
  7. China pushes in through Bhutan and hits India hard.
  8. India loses Kashmir and North East states
Why would China-Pakistan do it? Pakistan is a state created out of hatred towards India, so using reasons on her is not be feasible. They just want to destroy India, and capturing Kashmir has been there dream since a long time.

China might want to create a post-WW1 Germany of India. By putting military coersion on India, it would then try to control India's natural resources, teach other of her neighbours a lesson and control Indian economy to benefit hers. If India is subdued, China would soon be world giant, with Russia on her side.
And obviously, affects on Indian economy would be devastating.


Indian Counter Strategy

It is high time India formulates and fixes policies on how to deal with the worst case scenario. More important, India should activate plans which would ensure that worst case scenarios never materialize themselves. There are many theories going around.

China:
In order to contain China, India can make strategic partnerships with China's neighbours, of which almost all of them troubled with the assertive China.

South China Sea troubles involve Phillipines, Singapore and Vietnam. Japan hasn't shared a rosy history with China, and only recently China surpassed Japan economically in PPP terms. The Japanese empire was quite harsh on China, and few developments, as mentioned above in the blog, have highlighted the troubles in their relationship. Japan and India need to cooperate to ensure China doesn't become too adventurous

Taiwan is another state which China is trying to acquire. Although USA has interests in Taiwan, it won't hurt India to build a good relationship with her as well. Myanman is acting a little smart lately with Indian, however I don't think it would be very difficult to get her to behave properly and even ally with India. India stood for Myanmar when Obama was very assertive. It is time to use this.

There is a nice article on the appropriate response to Chinese aggression. Do go through it.

Pakistan:
Pakistan is pretty jubilant that USA is leaving Afghanistan in 2014 and has already opened few fronts to try to assert herself in the region. In order to destablize the Afghan government, it has opened the Haqqani front, Pakistan is fighting Baloch and other separatist groups, and recently she opened the LoC front as well. Hence, Pakistan is involved in three fronts and this should be exploited by the Indian establishment.

In LoC, we are already pushing ourselves, so that goes without saying. This article explains why should we be involved in Balochistan. And another article on how to succeed in Balochistan. And in order to work on the Afghan front, we need to build deeper inroads and invest more.


Conclusion


I would like to conclude by stating that:

  • The World Order has changed after Syria and India needs to adapt to it.
  • More than defense expenditure, the defense procurement needs to be expedited.
  • Keran was handled very poorly and lessons need to be learnt.
  • It is high time Air Force finishes the job in Keran.
  • Indian establishments need to show a backbone and focus on friendly diplomacy with China's rivals.
  • The power imbalance in Asia might lead to a two-front war against India and we need to be prepared for it.
  • India needs to exploits the 'acne' within her neighbour countries to keep them distracted.

This was my attempt to put my thoughts about the dangers that India is facing today from her hostile neighbourhood and how we could deal with it. Please leave your feedback.

Thanks.

Jai Hind!
Posted by at 17 comments:

Saturday, October 5, 2013

The Stupidity Of Vote Split Theory

A lot of murmur, discussions and screams have been going around the Social Media that Aam Aadmi Party is going to help Congress win Delhi elections, by cutting down the vote share of BJP. I find this theory utterly absurd and it really deserves a thrashing.

Before the Modi's Delhi rally in Japani Park, there was this article - Cut Out The Vote Cutters in a pro-BJP (pro-Modi?) website. Also, a lot of tweets are going around blaming AAP to cut he votes of BJP etc etc







and so on ... The tweets blaming that AAP would cut the BJP votes never end.

To counter this, let me start from the very basic of a democracy.

Q: What exactly is a Vote?
Ans: A vote is a symbol of trust of the electorate towards another individual who is claiming to represent him/her in the assembly/parliament. By voting for X, the electorate declares that I trust X and I want him/her to represent me.

That's it. Vote is Trust.


However, most political parties and their supporters have now forgotten this basic definition, specially BJP and its supporters. Now they think that they have the 'rightful claim' to the anti-incumbent vote. Oh please, there is never anything like that in Democracy.

Vote doesn't belong to anyone but the voter. A leader who wins the trust of voter wins his vote.

BJP, specially Delhi BJP has been been totally lazy, lethargic, laid back and corrupt in its ways since last 15 years. Thanks to MCD which is ruled by Delhi BJP, there has been no shortage of funds to it and thanks to 20-25 Delhi assembly seats, they have had reasonable hold of Delhi. So they had both - reasonable power and reasonable money. Thanks to the current political system, this is what Politician seek and as Delhi BJP had it. In any case, they never bothered to fight for the common man.

News about Delhi MCD in 2009 - MCD tops in corruption cases, followed by Delhi govt and DDA
News about Delhi MCD in 2010 - Anti Corruption Branch finds Delhi Police, MCD most corrupt

The result was evident - 15 years of Congress. Things have been stinking in Delhi, and after AAP was formed which is fighting for the common man, it became obvious that AAP would trust of the Delhites, and hence, their votes.

Let me come to the so-called vote-split theory once again. What exactly is a vote-split or vote-cut? How would you define it?
     Vote-split happens when people who were trusting your party, because of certain individuals in your party, don't vote for you after those individuals leave your party.
Yeddyurappa is a classic example. When he left BJP, he took his supporters and hence their votes along with him.

Was AAP anytime a part of BJP - Nah
Was any of the AAP top leaders anytime a part of BJP - Nah

Last I heard, AAP was building up from scratch and it is not a splinter group. Every vote AAP will get would be every vote earned. Period.

You know, BJP has got its basics wrong. As mentioned before, they think they have the fundamental right to the anti-incumbent vote, and even if they have done nothing for the common man, they should get it. This assumption is the exact reason for the steady decline of BJP since last 10-15 years. They relax, wait for the current government to make mistakes, while they themselves do nothing, and when the elections come, they jump around thinking voters would now automatically vote for BJP.

HELLO! The common man doesn't think this way, genius! Another big mistake would be to assume the common man of India does not understand politics. He knows every bit of it. BJP does get some votes, but that is due to desperation or hopelessness of common man towards current system, and not due to trust or merit.

Bad news BJP, in Delhi AAP is there, and outside Delhi, NOTA is there. Forget about the automatic-anti-incumbent-votes now. The only way BJP can beat AAP is by becoming better than AAP and winning hearts. Instead it's wasting time cribbing and crying. Till BJP cries about so-called vote cutters, it'll not deserve votes and won't get votes.The assumption that you'll automatically get anti-incumbent-vote depicts just one thing - You Are Lazy!

Do you want to know why AAP deserves vote? Here, read the few articles:
     Tracking Arvind
     Volunteers to spread Aam Aadmi Party's message
     The Organic Growth Story Of Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) On Social Media
     Aam Aadmi Party: The Incorruptibles?
     AAP took baby steps on social media, now it’s a runaway hit

And if all these didn't make sense to you, please read and understand what AAP has to provide to the Indian Political System

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